For Hillary Clinton, the numbers do not look good. As the Democratic nominee, Hillary simply had to accept the fact that the African-American and youth votes would come to her. Well, if early voting numbers are any indication, she may have taken those two demographics for granted.
As reported by the Daily Caller,
Black voters are turning out in far fewer numbers than they did in 2012. The states of Georgia, North Carolina, Virginia, and Ohio all experienced severe drops in early votes from black voters. Marc Caputo of Politico also notes a significant difference in the key swing state of Florida.
Voters under the age of 30 are also turning up in smaller numbers than in previous elections. Iowa, North Carolina and Ohio saw the most drastic decreases among younger voters. Other key states including Michigan, Nevada and Virginia also experienced severe drops in voter turnout.
Indeed the dissatisfaction with the Democrats has been growing as acute as that of the Republicans and with the release by Wikileaks of hacked emails, people are beginning to see just what Hillary thinks of them. Add to that the collusion of the Democratic National Committee and Clinton in railroading the campaign of Bernie Sanders, just may mean the difference between victory and defeat on election day.
Just look at the numbers, the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research found that 91.6 percent of African-Americans voted for Obama in 2012 and 60 percent of voters aged 18-29 voted for him as well in 2012.
Also, the Huffington Post reported in 2013 that 31.6 percent of all votes cast in that election, voted early.
The most recent numbers available from the Civitas Institute, show that as of October 29, 27 percent of all registered voters have cast their ballots. 33 percent of Democrats have voted already, compared to 20 percent of Republicans and 21 percent of unaffiliated voters.
Although it has been traditionally shown that most early votes in the past were for Democrats, this may not hold true this election. Republican early votes are steadily rising. With only days to go before the election, if Hillary cannot mobilize African-American and young voters to get out early and vote, she may well not see the numbers that Obama did in 2012.